The 2014 elections unfolded as was written.
Conventional wisdom believed, and repeatedly told us, that the Republicans would take over Congress because:
• The president is unpopular
• Midterm elections are historically a vote against the incumbent
• Certain Democratic constituencies (youth, Latinos) don't vote in midterm elections
• And 21 of the 36 contested Senate seats were held by Democrats, giving them a lot more to lose
But at the same time it was written that 2016 will be different.…
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